“We are prepared to support a viable candidate that is ready to actually stand for our communities,” Gomez said, and when asked about whether that risks a Republican winning the seat, she minces no words. “We already have a Republican in that seat,” she said.
This isn’t an empty threat. Sinema’s sharp veer to the right resulted in big dip in her approval numbers according to Civiqs tracking, as Markos detailed back in March and again in May. At the end of March, her favorability rating stood at 24%—just a quarter of voters approved of her, while 44% disapproved. Those numbers held in early May.
Those numbers are getting no better for her, at all, in June. They’re not trending her way at all, ticking up to 47% unfavorable among all voters.
Ouch. Sinema has gone from a +6 net favorable rating to -20 in March, to a -24 now.
Maybe she thinks she’ll make up all that ground with Republicans. Maybe she thinks Sen. Mitch McConnell will go easy on her in 2024 because she hung out at the border with Republican Sen. John Cornyn. Maybe she’s utterly delusional. Here’s what Republican voters think of her:
She’s going to have to get results, which is what she’s attempting to do with the bipartisan Senate infrastructure group that may or may not have come up with some kind of agreement this week. “I do think she’s hoping that she’s going to be able to broker some kind of a deal,” Julie Erfle, an Arizona communications consultant and AZMirror columnist, told CNN. “If she can do that, I think she has a win and she can say ‘listen, bipartisanship works.’ She’s gotta show something for taking this stand, she has to show some policy wins.”
The problem for Sinema is that she’s not in control of any of that. Nor is Joe Manchin, for all the genuflecting he’s been receiving lately.
McConnell is in control. He’s in charge of Republican votes, and he’s not going to let 10 of them do anything to advance a popular Democratic agenda. He’ll be more than happy to watch Manchin and Sinema go down in flames with voters.